****REPEAT OF
PRIOR MESSAGE...LOTTERY RESULTS BELOW****
Hi all
- on
All
non-playoff teams (17-24 in final standings) will be eligible for the draft
lottery that impacts the first round order only. Weighted percentages as
specified below will be applied, which will give the teams with the least
amount of points the best chance for a high draft pick. Only the top
three picks are decided by the lottery, with the rest of the first round
determined by inverse order of finish.
Odds
for a randomly generated selection:
Worst
record: 1-25
2nd
worst record: 26-45
3rd :
46-60
4th :
61-72
5th :
73-81
6th
82-89
7th :
90-95
8th
worst record: 96-100
On
Friday, I will use www.random.org to generate a random list of integer values
between 1 and 100 (each "iteration" of an item on the list will be
from 1-100). Based on the table below, if the first number in the list
falls between a range of values identified with the
team, that team "wins" the lottery and moves up to the first overall
pick. We'll then repeat this for the 2nd and 3rd overall picks (any
"repeat" lottery winner drawn gets thrown out, and the next number is
used). 4th through 8th in the round will then be re-sorted based on
inverse record, with the worse remaining team getting the 4th pick, etc.
In
other words:
A
simple explanation: 100 different outcomes of an experiment exist and are
equally likely to occur. A certain number of outcomes is
assigned to each non-playoff SPIBA team. The largest number of outcomes is
assigned to the team with the worst record. The team with the second worst
record gets the second largest number of outcomes, and so on for each of the 8
teams in the lottery. The experiment is conducted, and the team to which the
winning outcome was assigned receives the 1st pick in the SPIBA draft. The
experiment is conducted again. If the winner is the same team that already won,
the experiment is performed over again until there is a different winner. The
winner of the second experiment receives the 2nd pick. The winner of the third
experiment receives the 3rd pick. After the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd picks are
determined, the 4th-8th picks are assigned to teams based on weakness of record.
Same
as how the NBA does it...but we're using an online random number generator
instead of a giant plastic hopper filled with ping pong balls. Which
admittedly would be much cooler, but I don't have one :)
Los
Angeles Surf (17-65) #s 1-25, 25% chance of receiving the #1 pick
Denver
Karma (18-64) #s 26-45, 20% chance of receiving the #1 pick
Memphis
Rockers (19-63) #s 46-60, 15% chance of receiving the #1 pick
Los
Angeles Freedom Fighters (23-59) #s 61-72, 12% chance of receiving the #1 pick
Orlando
Octopus (32-50) #s 73-81, 9% chance of receiving the #1 pick
New
York Americans (34-48) #s 82-89, 8% chance of receiving the #1 pick
Washington
Illusion (36-46) #s 90-95, 6% chance of receiving the #1 pick
Indiana
Dragons (39-43) #s 96-100, 5% chance of receiving the #1 pick
Please
let me know if any questions/concerns.
Thanks,
Mike S.
SPIBA
****REPEAT
OF PRIOR MESSAGE...LOTTERY RESULTS BELOW****
Random
Integer Generator
Here
are your random numbers (with my notes appended):
15 -
first number drawn is "15", this falls within Los Angeles Surf's
assigned range, Los Angeles receives the #1 overall pick
93 -
second number drawn is "93", this falls within Washington Illusion's
assigned range, Washington receives the #2 overall pick
35 -
third number drawn is "35", this falls within Denver Karma's assigned
range, Denver receives the #3 overall pick
Commish
note: I generated 100 random numbers, the numbers below were generated
but not used, since the first 3 numbers drawn had no repeat team winners.
I'm including them anyway for transparency purposes.
53
91
5
98
86
3
48
82
49
20
2
7
3
31
12
52
2
84
32
31
69
70
11
45
57
1
55
82
2
56
19
39
10
61
53
78
31
11
90
20
94
91
43
36
96
84
15
40
10
51
1
48
3
33
37
51
84
66
37
31
81
18
36
64
6
79
73
43
89
11
77
21
31
17
70
70
100
88
63
100
81
34
69
51
9
70
2
47
19
54
63
2
58
44
47
5
76
The
rest of the teams fall into place based on last year's record, and this is the
final 2014 lottery result:
1. Los
Angeles Surf
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Regards,
Mike S.
SPIBA